SEQUENTIAL ADOPTION THEORY: A Theory For Understanding Herding in Technology Adoption Decisions

نویسندگان

  • Eric A. Walden
  • Glenn J. Browne
چکیده

Technology adoption often occurs sequentially, so that later potential adopters can see the decisions (adopt or not adopt) of earlier potential adopters. Here, we construct a model of the technology adoption decision where 1) adoption occurs sequentially, 2) each decision maker has some private information about the fitness of a technology, and 3) decision makers can see the decisions, but not the information of earlier decision makers. This characterization of some neglected aspects of technology adoption decisions allows us to build a model that illustrates technology adoption when decision makers supplement their own incomplete information with information deduced from the behavior of others.

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تاریخ انتشار 2007